In 2006 and 2008, Republicans tried being blissfully ignorant of what was about to happen, but people who donate to campaigns saw the handwriting on the wall and started spending heavily in the direction of Democrats. We see an abrupt reversal here. The smart money is on the GOP and the Democrats have their heads in the sand. Seemingly. Of course, they don't within the party; not really. They have a very good idea how bad it is going to be, but are hopeful it stays within the bounds of ugly, as opposed to catastrophic or disastrous.